With the Holidays fast approaching, many people are facing the distasteful choice of either cutting back on what they give to their friends and families, or spending beyond their means and either going into debt or forgoing necessary payments (such as mortgage payments, bills, etc). A rash of irresponsible spending, while giving a quick superficial bump to the national economic numbers, would result in disaster in the coming months as it would likely lead directly to an increase in home foreclosures and chapter 13 bankruptcy in Long Island. Luckily for most of the country (excepting retailers), the Commerce Department reported a 1.8 percent drop in sales last month. This seems to be evidence that people are cutting back on spending, but it could have other causes.

The drop in monthly retail spending was the fifth consecutive one, and the longest extended period of falling sales since the Federal Government began keeping track of such numbers. This drop may have been due to consumers re-prioritizing how they spend their money, but it is more likely a result of less disposable income being available. The economy shed over 50,000 jobs last month, bringing the number of unemployed in our country nearer to six million than it has ever been.

While this news is clearly negative, it becomes even worse if two other facts are considered in conjunction with it. First, the government assumes that due to a constantly expanding workforce, 150,000 jobs must be created per month just to keep pace. A loss of 50,000 jobs, therefore, translates to a month in which 200,000 people are unable to find work. Second, people who are employed part time, underemployed, or who are employed for less than a living wage are not counted in these numbers. Many such people cannot keep up with bills and living expenses, let alone spend extra money for gifts, dinners, and other economic boosters. As the economy worsens, many workers will find their positions redefined, relegating them to the ranks of the working poor. These losses will not show up in unemployment figures, however, and so will be another unmeasured strain on the economy at large.

A weakening economy is an entity that fast becomes like a self-fulfilling prophecy. As jobs are lost discretionary spending decreases, which in turn strains retailers who then must cut more jobs, which further exacerbates the problem. With the prospect of the loss of the “big three” automakers looming, it is easy to see how fast things could get exponentially worse. While some may think it is their patriotic duty to go out and “shop ‘til they drop,” it is far wiser to ensure that you meet your major financial obligations before spending on luxuries. The number of people facing the prospect of unemployment, a decrease in wages or available hours to work, or other financial disaster is fast increasing, and no-one is immune. If you are in such a position as this and feeling increasingly desperate, then you should visit a local bankruptcy attorney to discuss your options. You may be able to improve your financial position and consequently your quality of life. 

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This entry was posted on Tuesday, December 16th, 2008 at 10:22 am and is filed under Economy & Politics, Financial Market, Long Island Bankruptcy, Long Island Law Firm, Nassau & Suffolk County. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.